Premiership · Scotland · Tannadice Park

Dundee Utd

DWDWW
1–1
FT

Motherwell

WDLLL

Dundee Utd vs Motherwell prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Motherwell to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDundee Utd to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Win chances

Dundee Utd46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.75
Motherwell35%fair 2.88 · @3.40
2.99Expected goals
1.62Dundee Utd xG
1.37Motherwell xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Dundee Utd 1.6 – 1.4 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Dundee Utd hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 35% for Motherwell.

Dundee Utd have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Motherwell have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Dundee Utd come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Dundee Utd, 1.4 for Motherwell). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Dundee Utd have won 0, Motherwell have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.60. For a bigger price, Motherwell to win at 3.40 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundee Utd to win ✗46%2.182.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.57
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.05–

Form

Dundee Utd – last 6

DWDWWD
28 Oct@ Celtic2–2D
24 Octvs Aberdeen3–2W
17 Oct@ ST Johnstone1–1D
10 Octvs Hibernian1–0W
19 Sep@ ST Mirren3–0W
5 Sepvs Falkirk1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Motherwell – last 6

WDLLLL
31 Octvs ST Mirren1–0W
28 Oct@ ST Johnstone2–2D
25 Octvs Heart Of Midlothian0–2L
17 Oct@ Kilmarnock2–3L
11 Octvs Celtic0–2L
19 Sep@ Dundee1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Motherwell v Dundee Utd3–0

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub →
FT ST Johnstone2 Dundee1 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓ FT Aberdeen0 Hibernian4 422434 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✗ FT ST Mirren0 Rangers2 142364 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?

On our numbers Dundee Utd have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Motherwell 35%.

How many goals will there be in Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Dundee Utd vs Motherwell?

Dundee Utd vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tannadice Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.