1 Lyga · Lithuania

Jonava

DLWLL
1–1
FT

Hegelmann II

DLDWL

Jonava vs Hegelmann II prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Jonava or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Jonava to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultJonava to win ✗62% · @1.82
Double chanceJonava or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.58

Win chances

Jonava62%fair 1.62 · @1.82
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.56
Hegelmann II15%fair 6.61 · @3.59
3.02Expected goals
2.06Jonava xG
0.95Hegelmann II xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Jonava 2.1 – 1.0 Hegelmann II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Jonava are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for Hegelmann II.

Jonava have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 per game. Hegelmann II have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Jonava, 1.0 for Hegelmann II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Jonava have won 0, Hegelmann II have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Jonava or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.18. For a bigger price, Jonava to win at 1.82 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJonava to win ✗62%1.621.82 ▲
Double chanceJonava or draw ✓85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.52
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.46
Half-time resultJonava ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jonava / FT Jonava ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.58–

Form

Jonava – last 6

DLWLLL
31 Octvs Žalgiris II2–2D
24 Oct@ Atmosfera0–3L
16 Octvs BFA3–0W
10 Oct@ Babrungas0–2L
18 Sepvs Tauras2–3L
11 Sep@ Neptūną Klaipėda0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hegelmann II – last 6

DLDWLL
1 Novvs BFA1–1D
25 Oct@ Babrungas0–4L
16 Octvs Tauras4–4D
10 Oct@ Neptūną Klaipėda1–0W
18 Sepvs Dainava0–1L
11 Sep@ Transinvest 21–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Hegelmann II v Jonava2–1

More 1 Lyga predictions

FT Atmosfera4 Ekranas0 641917 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.55 ✗ FT Babrungas4 FA Šiauliai II1 761311 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.21 ✓ FT BFA4 Kauno Žalgiris II0 491931 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗ FT Minija2 Garliava0 741611 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.40 ✗ FT Neptūną Klaipėda1 Dainava1 352144 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.37 ✓ FT Tauras3 Transinvest 21 68229 1Tauras to win 68%@1.42 ✓ FT Žalgiris II2 Be1 NFA1 312049 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jonava vs Hegelmann II?

Our pick is Jonava or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Jonava vs Hegelmann II?

On our numbers Jonava have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hegelmann II 15%.

How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Hegelmann II?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Jonava vs Hegelmann II?

Jonava vs Hegelmann II (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.