1 Lyga · Lithuania

Minija

DWLLL
2–0
FT

Garliava

DLWDW

Minija vs Garliava prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMinija to win ✓74% · @1.16
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.16

Win chances

Minija74%fair 1.36 · @1.16
Draw16%fair 6.42 · @6.05
Garliava11%fair 9.16 · @12.00
3.12Expected goals
2.36Minija xG
0.76Garliava xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Minija 2.4 – 0.8 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Minija are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 11% for Garliava.

Minija have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Garliava have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.4 for Minija, 0.8 for Garliava). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 3–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Minija have won 1, Garliava have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.60.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinija to win ✓74%1.361.16
Double chanceMinija or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.711.66
Half-time resultMinija ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minija / FT Minija ✗49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12%8.16–

Form

Minija – last 6

DWLLLW
4 Nov@ Tauras3–3D
31 Octvs Atmosfera3–1W
24 Oct@ BFA1–2L
17 Octvs Babrungas2–3L
11 Octvs Kauno Žalgiris0–3L
2 Octvs Kauno Žalgiris II5–0W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Garliava – last 6

DLWDWL
1 Nov@ Transinvest 23–3D
23 Octvs Žalgiris II0–2L
17 Oct@ FA Šiauliai II3–2W
10 Octvs Atmosfera0–0D
2 Octvs Dainava2–1W
19 Sep@ Kauno Žalgiris II2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jun 2026Garliava v Minija0–1

More 1 Lyga predictions

FT Atmosfera4 Ekranas0 641917 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.55 ✗ FT Babrungas4 FA Šiauliai II1 761311 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.21 ✓ FT BFA4 Kauno Žalgiris II0 491931 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗ FT Jonava1 Hegelmann II1 622315 1XJonava or draw 85%@1.20 ✓ FT Neptūną Klaipėda1 Dainava1 352144 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.37 ✓ FT Tauras3 Transinvest 21 68229 1Tauras to win 68%@1.42 ✓ FT Žalgiris II2 Be1 NFA1 312049 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minija vs Garliava?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Minija vs Garliava?

On our numbers Minija have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Garliava 11%.

How many goals will there be in Minija vs Garliava?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Minija vs Garliava?

Minija vs Garliava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.