1 Lyga · LithuaniaJonava vs Žalgiris II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jonava 1.4 – 1.4 Žalgiris II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Jonava and Žalgiris II on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Jonava have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Žalgiris II have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Žalgiris II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Jonava, 1.4 for Žalgiris II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Jonava have won 1, Žalgiris II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.87.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jonava to win ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jonava / FT Jonava ✗ | 22% | 4.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.47 | – |
Form
Jonava – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Atmosfera | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs BFA | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Babrungas | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Tauras | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Dainava | 0–0 | D |
Žalgiris II – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Garliava | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Atmosfera | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ BFA | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Babrungas | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Tauras | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Jun 2026 | Žalgiris II v Jonava | 1–2 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jonava vs Žalgiris II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Jonava vs Žalgiris II?
On our numbers Jonava have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Žalgiris II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Žalgiris II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Jonava vs Žalgiris II?
Jonava vs Žalgiris II (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.