1 Lyga · LithuaniaBFA vs Minija prediction & analysis
Minija to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: BFA 0.9 – 2.2 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Minija travel as clear favourites – 67% to win, against 14% for BFA.
BFA have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Minija have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Minija come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (0.9 for BFA, 2.2 for Minija). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–2 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, BFA have won 0, Minija have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Minija to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Minija to win ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Minija or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Half-time result | Minija ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Minija / FT Minija ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 11% | 9.01 | – |
Form
BFA – last 6
| 16 Oct | @ Jonava | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Atmosfera | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Garliava | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–2 | D |
Minija – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Babrungas | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Kauno Žalgiris | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Kauno Žalgiris II | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Dainava | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Transinvest 2 | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 13 Jun 2026 | Minija v BFA | 3–0 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for BFA vs Minija?
Our pick is Minija to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win BFA vs Minija?
On our numbers BFA have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Minija 67%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Minija?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is BFA vs Minija?
BFA vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.