1 Lyga · LithuaniaBFA vs Žalgiris II prediction & analysis
BFA or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: BFA 2.0 – 0.9 Žalgiris II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
BFA are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Žalgiris II.
BFA have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Žalgiris II have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for BFA, 0.9 for Žalgiris II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, BFA have won 1, Žalgiris II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.
Our pick is BFA or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.19.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | BFA to win ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | BFA or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | BFA ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT BFA / FT BFA ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.39 | – |
Form
BFA – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Atmosfera | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Garliava | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dainava | 0–0 | D |
Žalgiris II – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Babrungas | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Tauras | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Transinvest 2 | 4–3 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ FA Šiauliai II | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 22 May 2026 | Žalgiris II v BFA | 3–4 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for BFA vs Žalgiris II?
Our pick is BFA or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win BFA vs Žalgiris II?
On our numbers BFA have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Žalgiris II 16%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Žalgiris II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is BFA vs Žalgiris II?
BFA vs Žalgiris II (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.