1 Lyga · LithuaniaAtmosfera vs BFA prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atmosfera 1.6 – 1.4 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Atmosfera and BFA on our numbers – 43% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 20% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Atmosfera have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. BFA have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. BFA come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Atmosfera, 1.4 for BFA). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.69.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atmosfera to win ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atmosfera / FT Atmosfera ✗ | 25% | 4.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.38 | – |
Form
Atmosfera – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Babrungas | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Tauras | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs FA Šiauliai II | 1–1 | D |
BFA – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Garliava | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dainava | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Transinvest 2 | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atmosfera and BFA.
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atmosfera vs BFA?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atmosfera vs BFA?
On our numbers Atmosfera have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BFA 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atmosfera vs BFA?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Atmosfera vs BFA?
Atmosfera vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.