1 Lyga · LithuaniaNeptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava prediction & analysis
Neptūną Klaipėda or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Neptūną Klaipėda to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Neptūną Klaipėda 1.8 – 0.7 Jonava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Neptūną Klaipėda are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Jonava.
Neptūną Klaipėda have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Jonava have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Neptūną Klaipėda, 0.7 for Jonava). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Neptūną Klaipėda have won 1, Jonava have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Neptūną Klaipėda or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Neptūną Klaipėda to win at 1.80 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Neptūną Klaipėda to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Neptūną Klaipėda or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Neptūną Klaipėda ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Neptūną Klaipėda / FT Neptūną Klaipėda ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.45 | – |
Form
Neptūną Klaipėda – last 6
| 7 Sep | @ Žalgiris II | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Atmosfera | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ BFA | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Babrungas | 0–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Garliava | 1–0 | W |
Jonava – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Dainava | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs FA Šiauliai II | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Ekranas | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Be1 NFA | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 8 May 2026 | Jonava v Neptūną Klaipėda | 0–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava?
Our pick is Neptūną Klaipėda or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava?
On our numbers Neptūną Klaipėda have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jonava 14%.
How many goals will there be in Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava?
Neptūną Klaipėda vs Jonava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.