1 Lyga · LithuaniaGarliava vs BFA prediction & analysis
Either team to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · Won ✓
Value bet: BFA to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Garliava 1.1 – 1.4 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
BFA shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 34% for Garliava.
Garliava have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. BFA have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. BFA come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Garliava, 1.4 for BFA). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Garliava have won 0, BFA have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Either team to win at a 79% chance. For a bigger price, BFA to win at 2.40 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | BFA to win ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.40 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT BFA / FT BFA ✓ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.04 | – |
Form
Garliava – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Ekranas | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Babrungas | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Be1 NFA | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Tauras | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Hegelmann II | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 0–1 | L |
BFA – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dainava | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Transinvest 2 | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ FA Šiauliai II | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 19 May 2026 | BFA v Garliava | 2–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Garliava vs BFA?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 79% chance.
Who will win Garliava vs BFA?
On our numbers Garliava have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFA 45%.
How many goals will there be in Garliava vs BFA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Garliava vs BFA?
Garliava vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.