1 Lyga · LithuaniaHegelmann II vs Ekranas prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hegelmann II 1.7 – 1.5 Ekranas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hegelmann II hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 36% for Ekranas.
Hegelmann II have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.7 per game. Ekranas have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Hegelmann II, 1.5 for Ekranas). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.64.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hegelmann II to win ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hegelmann II / FT Hegelmann II ✗ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.23 | – |
Form
Hegelmann II – last 6
| 14 Aug | @ Be1 NFA | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Garliava | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Minija | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Atmosfera | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Jul | vs Žalgiris II | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Jul | @ Žalgiris II | 1–3 | L |
Ekranas – last 6
| 14 Aug | vs Minija | 0–5 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Jonava | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Žalgiris II | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Babrungas | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | vs BFA | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Jul | @ BFA | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann II and Ekranas.
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs Ekranas?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs Ekranas?
On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ekranas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs Ekranas?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Hegelmann II vs Ekranas?
Hegelmann II vs Ekranas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.