1 Lyga · LithuaniaNeptūną Klaipėda vs Babrungas prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Neptūną Klaipėda 1.1 – 1.4 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Babrungas shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 33% for Neptūną Klaipėda.
Neptūną Klaipėda have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Babrungas have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for Neptūną Klaipėda, 1.4 for Babrungas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Neptūną Klaipėda have won 0, Babrungas have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.86. For a bigger price, Babrungas to win at 2.38 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Babrungas to win ✓ | 47% | 2.15 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas ✓ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.37 | – |
Form
Neptūną Klaipėda – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Tauras | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Garliava | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs FA Šiauliai II | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | @ Transinvest 2 | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jun | @ Dainava | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jun | vs Kauno Žalgiris II | 2–1 | W |
Babrungas – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Ekranas | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | @ FA Šiauliai II | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | vs Kauno Žalgiris II | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 4 Apr 2026 | Babrungas v Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Neptūną Klaipėda vs Babrungas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Neptūną Klaipėda vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Neptūną Klaipėda have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Babrungas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Neptūną Klaipėda vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Neptūną Klaipėda vs Babrungas?
Neptūną Klaipėda vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.