1 Lyga · LithuaniaKauno Žalgiris II vs Jonava prediction & analysis
Jonava or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Jonava to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kauno Žalgiris II 0.9 – 1.7 Jonava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Jonava shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 20% for Kauno Žalgiris II.
Kauno Žalgiris II have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Jonava have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Jonava come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 for Kauno Žalgiris II, 1.7 for Jonava). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Kauno Žalgiris II have won 0, Jonava have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Jonava or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is better than our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Jonava to win at 1.90 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jonava to win ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Jonava or draw ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jonava / FT Jonava ✗ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.88 | – |
Form
Kauno Žalgiris II – last 6
| 10 Aug | @ Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Atmosfera | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | @ Tauras | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Jul | vs Babrungas | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | vs BFA | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Jun | @ Babrungas | 0–0 | D |
Jonava – last 6
| 7 Aug | vs Ekranas | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Be1 NFA | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Garliava | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Minija | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Jun | @ Hegelmann II | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | @ Žalgiris II | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 4 Apr 2026 | Jonava v Kauno Žalgiris II | 3–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
Our pick is Jonava or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
On our numbers Kauno Žalgiris II have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jonava 59%.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Kauno Žalgiris II vs Jonava?
Kauno Žalgiris II vs Jonava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.