J1 League · Japan · Machida GION Stadium

Machida Zelvia

WDWDW
0–0
FT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WLWLW

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗45% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Win chances

Machida Zelvia34%fair 2.96 · @2.92
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.38
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%fair 2.21 · @2.29
2.95Expected goals
1.35Machida Zelvia xG
1.60Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.3 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 34% for Machida Zelvia.

Machida Zelvia have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.2 per game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Machida Zelvia, 1.6 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗45%2.212.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.63
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.04–

Form

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WDWDWW
5 Novvs Shanghai Shenhua2–1W
1 Novvs Gamba Osaka0–0D
29 Oct@ Shanghai Shenhua1–0W
24 Oct@ Vissel Kobe0–0D
21 Oct@ Shimizu S-pulse5–0W
18 Octvs Avispa Fukuoka3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WLWLWW
31 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock3–0W
28 Oct@ Yokohama F. Marinos3–4L
24 Octvs Shimizu S-pulse4–0W
21 Oct@ V-varen Nagasaki0–4L
17 Octvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
14 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

More J1 League predictions

FT Vissel Kobe2 Urawa2 472132 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✗ FT Gamba Osaka2 Cerezo Osaka3 422335 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.38 ✗ FT JEF United Chiba1 Mito Hollyhock0 532126 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.