J1 League · Japan · Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka

DDDDW
2–3
FT

Cerezo Osaka

LWDDL

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Win chances

Gamba Osaka42%fair 2.36 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.44
Cerezo Osaka35%fair 2.87 · @2.89
2.81Expected goals
1.49Gamba Osaka xG
1.32Cerezo Osaka xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.5 – 1.3 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Gamba Osaka hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 35% for Cerezo Osaka.

Gamba Osaka have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (1W 5D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cerezo Osaka have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Gamba Osaka, 1.3 for Cerezo Osaka). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Gamba Osaka have won 0, Cerezo Osaka have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.49.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGamba Osaka to win ✗42%2.362.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.38
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.17–

Form

Gamba Osaka – last 6

DDDDWD
4 Nov@ Pohang Steelers3–3D
1 Nov@ Machida Zelvia0–0D
28 Octvs Buriram United1–1D
24 Octvs Kyoto Sanga2–2D
21 Oct@ Avispa Fukuoka2–1W
17 Oct@ Shimizu S-pulse2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

LWDDLW
31 Oct@ Kashima1–4L
28 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock3–1W
25 Octvs JEF United Chiba2–2D
21 Oct@ Nagoya Grampus1–1D
17 Octvs Kawasaki Frontale2–4L
14 Oct@ Gainare Tottori3–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka0–1

More J1 League predictions

FT Machida Zelvia0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima0 342145 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗ FT Vissel Kobe2 Urawa2 472132 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✗ FT JEF United Chiba1 Mito Hollyhock0 532126 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerezo Osaka 35%.

How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.