Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNara Club to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Nara Club vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Nara Club take on Kitakyushu on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Konoike Athletic Stadium. Nara Club are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Kitakyushu sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nara Club's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Parceiro Nagano 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Kitakyushu's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Kochi United 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Nara Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Nara Club and 1.3 for Kitakyushu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nara Club 62%, draw 13%, Kitakyushu 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nara Club to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nara Club 2–1 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nara Club62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw13%fair 7.55 · @3.30
Kitakyushu25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
3.50Expected goals
2.22Nara Club xG
1.28Kitakyushu xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nara Club 2.2 – 1.3 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nara Club to win✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Nara Club ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nara Club / FT Nara Club✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Nara Club – last 6
WWWWDL
3 Oct
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Biwako Shiga
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs FC Gifu
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Sagan Tosu
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kitakyushu – last 6
WLDWLL
3 Oct
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Kagoshima United
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sagamihara
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Gainare Tottori
2–4
L
9 Sep
@ FC Ryukyu
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nara Club and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Nara Club to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Nara Club have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Kitakyushu 25%.
How many goals will there be in Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Nara Club 2–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?
Nara Club vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Konoike Athletic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
