Super League · Switzerland · Stockhorn Arena

FC Thun

WWLLD
3–3
FT

FC Basel 1893

LDWLL

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: FC Basel 1893 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Thun to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57

Win chances

FC Thun42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
FC Basel 189337%fair 2.69 · @3.00
3.77Expected goals
1.95FC Thun xG
1.83FC Basel 1893 xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: FC Thun 1.9 – 1.8 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates FC Thun and FC Basel 1893 on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

FC Thun have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. FC Basel 1893 have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.8 goals (1.9 for FC Thun, 1.8 for FC Basel 1893). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (7%).

In their last 1 meeting, FC Thun have won 0, FC Basel 1893 have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.43. For a bigger price, FC Basel 1893 to win at 3.00 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Thun to win ✗42%2.392.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓50%1.991.91
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Thun / FT FC Thun ✗25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.57–

Form

FC Thun – last 6

WWLLDL
5 Novvs Heart Of Midlothian3–1W
1 Nov@ Lausanne5–4W
25 Octvs FC Lugano2–3L
22 Octvs HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Schaffhausen1–1D
15 Oct@ Twente0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Basel 1893 – last 6

LDWLLL
1 Nov@ FC Lugano1–2L
25 Octvs Grasshoppers0–0D
16 Oct@ Stade Nyonnais3–0W
11 Oct@ FC Vaduz0–3L
3 Oct@ FC Winterthur3–7L
20 Sepvs FC ST. Gallen1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026FC Basel 1893 v FC Thun4–2

More Super League predictions

FT FC ST. Gallen5 FC Lugano0 382141 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗ FT Servette FC0 FC Zurich0 452134 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

On our numbers FC Thun have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Basel 1893 37%.

How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

When is FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.