Super League · Switzerland · Kybunpark
FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 1.7 – 1.8 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates FC ST. Gallen and FC Lugano on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
FC ST. Gallen have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. FC Lugano have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 3.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. FC Lugano come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.7 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.8 for FC Lugano). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 3 meetings, FC ST. Gallen have won 1, FC Lugano have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, FC Lugano to win at 2.62 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Lugano to win ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✗ | 24% | 4.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.09 | – |
Form
FC ST. Gallen – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Servette FC | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ BSC Young Boys | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Rapperswil | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Lausanne | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Brühl | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ FC Basel 1893 | 3–1 | W |
FC Lugano – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Kauno Žalgiris | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs FC Basel 1893 | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ FC Thun | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Getafe | 5–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Pully Football | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs FK Crvena Zvezda | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Sep 2026 | FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen | 4–1 |
| 10 May 2026 | FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen | 1–2 |
| 17 Mar 2026 | FC ST. Gallen v FC Lugano | 1–1 |
More Super League predictions
Servette FC0
FC Zurich0
GGBoth teams to score
66%@1.50
✗
FT
FC Thun3
FC Basel 18933
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
70%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Lugano 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.