Liga Leumit · IsraelHapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hapoel Afula 1.3 – 1.8 Hapoel Rishon LeZion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hapoel Rishon LeZion shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 31% for Hapoel Afula.
Hapoel Afula have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Hapoel Rishon LeZion have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Hapoel Rishon LeZion come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 for Hapoel Afula, 1.8 for Hapoel Rishon LeZion). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hapoel Rishon LeZion to win ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hapoel Rishon LeZion / FT Hapoel Rishon LeZion ✗ | 29% | 3.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.68 | – |
Form
Hapoel Afula – last 6
| 24 Sep | @ Hapoel Acre | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Hapoel Ra'anana | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1–0 | W |
Hapoel Rishon LeZion – last 6
| 24 Sep | vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Ashdod | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Kiryat Yam SC | 4–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Kafr Qasim | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Rishon LeZion.
Liga Leumit table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ashdod | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Bnei Yehuda | 13 | +16 | 30 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Ra'anana | 13 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Hapoel Afula | 13 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Kiryat Yam SC | 13 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 13 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Kfar Saba | 13 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 |  Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 |  Kafr Qasim | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Ironi Modi'in | 13 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Maccabi Herzliya | 13 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 13 | -18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hapoel Acre | 13 | -28 | 3 |
More Liga Leumit predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
On our numbers Hapoel Afula have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hapoel Rishon LeZion 50%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.