Prva Liga · SerbiaNapredak vs Dubočica prediction & analysis
Napredak to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Napredak 1.6 – 0.8 Dubočica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Napredak hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 18% for Dubočica.
Napredak have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Dubočica have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Dubočica come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Napredak, 0.8 for Dubočica). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Napredak to win at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.73.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Napredak to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Napredak or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Napredak / FT Napredak ✗ | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 15% | 6.67 | – |
Form
Napredak – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Naftagas | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Oct | vs Loznica | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ FK Vozdovac | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Semendrija 1924 | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs OFK Vršac | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 0–1 | L |
Dubočica – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Jedinstvo Ub | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | vs Javor | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | @ TSC Backa Topola | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Teleoptik | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Metalac GM | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Dubočica.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borac Cacak | 17 | +10 | 36 |
| 2 |  Javor | 17 | +20 | 34 |
| 3 |  TSC Backa Topola | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 4 |  OFK Vršac | 17 | +5 | 30 |
| 5 |  Dubočica | 17 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 |  Semendrija 1924 | 17 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  Napredak | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 |  FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 17 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Naftagas | 17 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  FK Vozdovac | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 |  Loznica | 17 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Metalac GM | 17 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Jedinstvo Ub | 17 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 |  Grafičar | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Teleoptik | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 16 |  OFK Bor 1919 | 17 | -25 | 8 |
More Prva Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Napredak vs Dubočica?
Our pick is Napredak to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Napredak vs Dubočica?
On our numbers Napredak have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dubočica 18%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Dubočica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Napredak vs Dubočica?
Napredak vs Dubočica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.