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Prva Liga · Serbia · Gradski stadion

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.37

Win chances

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Napredak15%fair 6.82 · @3.75
2.77Expected goals
1.90FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV xG
0.87Napredak xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1.9 – 0.9 Napredak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 15% for Napredak.

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Napredak have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, 0.9 for Napredak). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV have won 0, Napredak have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win at 1.80 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win ✓60%1.671.80 ▲
Double chanceFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw ✓85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV / FT FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12%8.37–

Form

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV – last 6

WDDDLW
5 Sepvs OFK Vršac2–0W
29 Aug@ Jedinstvo Ub1–1D
24 Augvs Javor2–2D
19 Aug@ TSC Backa Topola2–2D
14 Augvs Teleoptik2–4L
8 Aug@ Metalac GM4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Napredak – last 6

WLLDWW
5 Sepvs Jedinstvo Ub2–1W
30 Aug@ Javor0–3L
23 Augvs TSC Backa Topola1–2L
19 Aug@ Teleoptik1–1D
14 Augvs Metalac GM2–1W
8 Aug@ OFK Bor 19191–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Napredak v FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV1–1

Prva Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac Cacak171133+1036
2Javor17971+2034
3TSC Backa Topola17971+1834
4OFK Vršac17935+530
5Dubočica17755026
6Semendrija 192417746025
7Napredak17746-125
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV17656-323
9Naftagas17575+622
10FK Vozdovac17557020
11Loznica17485-420
12Metalac GM17548-619
13Jedinstvo Ub17539-618
14Grafičar175210-517
15Teleoptik17359-914
16OFK Bor 1919172213-258

More Prva Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak?

Our pick is FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak?

On our numbers FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Napredak 15%.

How many goals will there be in FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

When is FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak?

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Napredak (Prva Liga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.