Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź prediction & analysis

Legia Warszawa are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 19% for Widzew Łódź.

Legia Warszawa have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Widzew Łódź have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Legia Warszawa come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Legia Warszawa, 1.0 for Widzew Łódź). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Legia Warszawa have won 1, Widzew Łódź have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Legia Warszawa or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Legia Warszawa to win at 1.85 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).