Super Cup · Bulgaria · Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.4 – 1.0 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Levski Sofia hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 30% for CSKA Sofia.
Levski Sofia have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. CSKA Sofia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Levski Sofia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.4 for Levski Sofia, 1.0 for CSKA Sofia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Levski Sofia have won 0, CSKA Sofia have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Levski Sofia to win ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.87 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia ✗ | 27% | 3.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.99 | – |
Form
Levski Sofia – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs CSKA 1948 | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Slavia Sofia | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Botev Plovdiv | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ AEK Athens FC | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Spartak Varna | 6–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs AEK Athens FC | 0–0 | D |
CSKA Sofia – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Spartak Varna | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Cherno More Varna | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | vs OFI | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | @ OFI | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Botev Vratsa | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | vs Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 13 Apr 2026 | CSKA Sofia v Levski Sofia | 1–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Sofia 30%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (Super Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.