Ligue 1 · France · Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre

LDWLW

0–1

Paris FC

WLWLW

Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction & analysis

80%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating

1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultParis FC to win ✓60% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Win chances

Auxerre20%fair 4.89 · @4.50

Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.00

Paris FC60%fair 1.67 · @1.73

3.16Expected goals

1.10Auxerre xG

2.05Paris FC xG

58%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%

1–110%

0–29%

0–19%

1–37%

0–36%

From our goals model: Auxerre 1.1 – 2.1 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Paris FC shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 20% for Auxerre.

Auxerre have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.5 per game. Paris FC have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (1.1 for Auxerre, 2.1 for Paris FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Paris FC to win ✓	60%	1.67	1.73
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.44
Half-time result	Paris FC ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC ✗	38%	2.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.10	–

Form

Auxerre – last 6

LDWLWW

1 Nov	@ Strasbourg	1–5	L
25 Oct	vs Le Mans	1–1	D
18 Oct	@ Le Havre	3–1	W
11 Oct	@ Rennes	1–4	L
2 Oct	vs Clermont Foot	4–3	W
20 Sep	vs Stade Brestois 29	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Paris FC – last 6

WLWLWD

1 Nov	vs Monaco	3–1	W
24 Oct	@ Lens	1–2	L
18 Oct	vs Rennes	4–3	W
10 Oct	@ Lorient	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Strasbourg	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs Lyon	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Paris FC.

Ligue 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	+8	18
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+6	17
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	0	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	+6	15
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-11	10
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	-13	2

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub →

Paris Saint Germain1

Estac Troyes0 74206 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auxerre vs Paris FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?

On our numbers Auxerre have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris FC 60%.

How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Paris FC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Auxerre vs Paris FC?

Auxerre vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.