Eredivisie · Netherlands · De Grolsch VesteTwente vs Telstar prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Twente 2.6 – 1.1 Telstar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Twente are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 13% for Telstar.
Twente have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Telstar have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.7 conceded. Twente come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.6 for Twente, 1.1 for Telstar). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Twente have won 0, Telstar have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.39.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Twente to win ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.24 |
| Double chance | Twente or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Half-time result | Twente ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Twente / FT Twente ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.85 | – |
Form
Twente – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Groningen | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Cambuur | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | @ Qarabag | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs Qarabag | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs PEC Zwolle | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | @ Dunajska Streda | 3–3 | D |
Telstar – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Cambuur | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Ajax | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ NEC Nijmegen | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Jul | @ De Graafschap | 6–3 | W |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | Telstar v Twente | 1–1 |
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Twente vs Telstar?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Twente vs Telstar?
On our numbers Twente have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Telstar 13%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs Telstar?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Twente vs Telstar?
Twente vs Telstar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.