Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · De Oude Meerdijk

Emmen

LWWWW
0–2
FT

MVV

LLDLL

Emmen vs MVV prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Emmen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultEmmen to win ✗68% · @1.67
Double chanceEmmen or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.98

Win chances

Emmen68%fair 1.47 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.80
MVV12%fair 8.25 · @5.00
3.36Expected goals
2.40Emmen xG
0.96MVV xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: Emmen 2.4 – 1.0 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Emmen are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 12% for MVV.

Emmen have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. MVV have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded. Emmen come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.4 goals (2.4 for Emmen, 1.0 for MVV). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Emmen have won 1, MVV have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Emmen to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmmen to win ✗68%1.471.67 ▲
Double chanceEmmen or draw ✗88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.681.50
Half-time resultEmmen ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Emmen / FT Emmen ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.98–

Form

Emmen – last 6

LWWWWD
30 Octvs Den Bosch0–5L
29 Oct@ Groningen2–0W
23 Oct@ Vitesse2–0W
17 Octvs Almere City FC2–1W
9 Oct@ Dordrecht3–0W
3 Oct@ Waalwijk1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

MVV – last 6

LLDLLL
31 Octvs VVV Venlo1–2L
28 Octvs Excelsior0–3L
23 Oct@ Den Bosch2–2D
18 Octvs Heracles1–5L
9 Oct@ NAC Breda0–1L
3 Oct@ FC OSS1–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Emmen v MVV2–1

More Eerste Divisie predictions

Postponed Vitesse De Graafschap 562321 1XVitesse or draw 79%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Emmen vs MVV?

Our pick is Emmen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Emmen vs MVV?

On our numbers Emmen have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and MVV 12%.

How many goals will there be in Emmen vs MVV?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Emmen vs MVV?

Emmen vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.