Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Seacon Stadion De KoelVVV Venlo vs Roda prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 1.6 – 1.5 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates VVV Venlo and Roda on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
VVV Venlo have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Roda have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.6 for VVV Venlo, 1.5 for Roda). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | VVV Venlo to win ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo ✗ | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.44 | – |
Form
VVV Venlo – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ FC Volendam | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Jong Utrecht | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs FC OSS | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Helmond Sport | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Emmen | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs De Graafschap | 2–1 | W |
Roda – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Waalwijk | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Jong Ajax | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Vitesse | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ MVV | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs NAC Breda | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Dordrecht | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and Roda.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for VVV Venlo vs Roda?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Roda?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Roda 36%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs Roda?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is VVV Venlo vs Roda?
VVV Venlo vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Seacon Stadion De Koel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.