First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.1 – 1.1 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Slavia Sofia and Cherno More Varna on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Slavia Sofia have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Cherno More Varna have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Slavia Sofia, 1.1 for Cherno More Varna). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Slavia Sofia have won 1, Cherno More Varna have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cherno More Varna to win ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | 2.70 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna ✗ | 20% | 5.00 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.09 | – |
Form
Slavia Sofia – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ CSKA Sofia | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Akademik Svishtov | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Botev Plovdiv | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Botev Vratsa | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs CSKA 1948 | 1–2 | L |
Cherno More Varna – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Botev Vratsa | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs Septemvri Sofia | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Marek | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Ludogorets | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 2026 | Cherno More Varna v Slavia Sofia | 1–3 |
More First League predictions
Botev Vratsa1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv2
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
64%@1.48
✗
FT
Ludogorets2
CSKA 19482
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cherno More Varna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Slavia Sofia vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.