First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma ArenaLudogorets vs Septemvri Sofia prediction & analysis
Ludogorets to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.9 – 0.6 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ludogorets are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 13% for Septemvri Sofia.
Ludogorets have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Septemvri Sofia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Ludogorets come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.9 for Ludogorets, 0.6 for Septemvri Sofia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ludogorets have won 1, Septemvri Sofia have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Ludogorets to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ludogorets to win ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | Ludogorets or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Ludogorets ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.53 | – |
Form
Ludogorets – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Lokomotiv Sofia | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Spartak Varna | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Slavia Sofia | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Botev Plovdiv | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Cherno More Varna | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Botev Vratsa | 2–1 | W |
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Botev Vratsa | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Slavia Sofia | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs CSKA 1948 | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | @ Spartak Varna | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs CSKA Sofia | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Levski Sofia | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 10 Jul 2026 | Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia | 1–0 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia | 14 | +23 | 34 |
| 2 |  Levski Sofia | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 13 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 14 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Spartak Varna | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Cherno More Varna | 14 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Dunav Ruse | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Septemvri Sofia | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 |  Botev Vratsa | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | -11 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Septemvri Sofia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.