Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.4 – 1.5 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Necaxa and Club Tijuana on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Necaxa have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Club Tijuana have 8 points from their last 6 (1W 5D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Club Tijuana come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Necaxa, 1.5 for Club Tijuana). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Necaxa have won 1, Club Tijuana have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Club Tijuana to win at 2.62 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Club Tijuana to win ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana ✗ | 24% | 4.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.51 | – |
Form
Necaxa – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Santos Laguna | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs FC Juarez | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | @ Guadalajara Chivas | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Atlas | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | @ CF Pachuca | 3–3 | D |
| 28 Sep | vs Club America | 2–4 | L |
Club Tijuana – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Monterrey | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Oct | @ Club America | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Oct | vs Santos Laguna | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Toluca | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Puebla | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ FC Juarez | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 21 Mar 2026 | Necaxa v Club Tijuana | 3–0 |
More Liga MX predictions
Atletico San Luis0
FC Juarez1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.20
✗
FT
Atlante FC0
Santos Laguna2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.53
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Tijuana 41%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.