Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Libertad Financiera
Atletico San Luis
FC Juarez
Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Atletico San Luis to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 2.1 – 0.8 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico San Luis are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 12% for FC Juarez.
Atletico San Luis have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. FC Juarez have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Atletico San Luis come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Atletico San Luis, 0.8 for FC Juarez). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Atletico San Luis have won 0, FC Juarez have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Atletico San Luis to win at 1.62 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico San Luis to win ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Atletico San Luis or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Atletico San Luis ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico San Luis / FT Atletico San Luis ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.41 | – |
Form
Atletico San Luis – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Atlas | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Atlante FC | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Club Queretaro | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Toluca | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Santos Laguna | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3–2 | W |
FC Juarez – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Club Queretaro | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Necaxa | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Atlante FC | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Cruz Azul | 0–5 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Club Tijuana | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | @ Leon | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Apr 2026 | FC Juarez v Atletico San Luis | 2–1 |
More Liga MX predictions
Necaxa1
Club Tijuana0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.25
✗
FT
Atlante FC0
Santos Laguna2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.53
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Juarez 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?
Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Libertad Financiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.