Serie A · ItalyBologna vs Monza prediction & analysis
Bologna to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bologna 2.4 – 1.1 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bologna are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Monza.
Bologna have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Monza have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.4 for Bologna, 1.1 for Monza). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Bologna to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bologna to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bologna or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time result | Bologna ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bologna / FT Bologna ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 10% | 10.39 | – |
Form
Bologna – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ AC Milan | 4–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Cagliari | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Inter | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Lecce | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Torino | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Napoli | 0–1 | L |
Monza – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Napoli | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Torino | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Cagliari | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Lazio | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Stade Brestois 29 | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Sassuolo | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bologna and Monza.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bologna vs Monza?
Our pick is Bologna to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
On our numbers Bologna have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monza 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Monza?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Bologna vs Monza?
Bologna vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.