Serie A · Italy · Stadio Olimpico di TorinoTorino vs Monza prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Torino 1.9 – 1.5 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torino hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Monza.
Torino have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Monza have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.9 for Torino, 1.5 for Monza). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Torino have won 0, Monza have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torino to win ✓ | 46% | 2.15 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torino / FT Torino ✓ | 28% | 3.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.11 | – |
Form
Torino – last 6
| 19 Oct | @ Parma | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Bologna | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs AS Roma | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Fiorentina | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Monza | 0–1 | L |
Monza – last 6
| 19 Oct | vs Cagliari | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Lazio | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Stade Brestois 29 | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Sassuolo | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Lecce | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Parma | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 1 Sep 2026 | Torino v Monza | 0–1 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Torino vs Monza?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
On our numbers Torino have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monza 32%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Monza?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Torino vs Monza?
Torino vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.