Primera A · Colombia · Estadio General SantanderCucuta vs Atletico Nacional prediction & analysis
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cucuta 0.9 – 1.9 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Nacional travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 19% for Cucuta.
Cucuta have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Atletico Nacional have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Cucuta, 1.9 for Atletico Nacional). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cucuta have won 0, Atletico Nacional have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.64.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Nacional to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Atletico Nacional or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.17 | – |
Form
Cucuta – last 6
| 12 Oct | @ Chico | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Deportivo Pereira | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Llaneros | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Deportivo Cali | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Millonarios | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Deportivo Pasto | 2–2 | D |
Atletico Nacional – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Chico | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Independiente Medellin | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Deportes Tolima | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Oct | vs Junior | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Chapecoense-sc | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Sep | vs Millonarios | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 2 Apr 2026 | Atletico Nacional v Cucuta | 0–0 |
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More Primera A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Cucuta have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Nacional 61%.
How many goals will there be in Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Santander.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.