Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Jaguares take on Deportes Tolima on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 22:05 (WAT) at Estadio Jaraguay. Jaguares are 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Deportes Tolima sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jaguares's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Águilas Doradas 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Deportes Tolima's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Atletico Nacional 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Jaguares and 1.8 for Deportes Tolima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%.
Safer route: Deportes Tolima or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportes Tolima to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jaguares 0–1 Deportes Tolima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jaguares15%fair 6.89 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
Deportes Tolima65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
2.48Expected goals
0.68Jaguares xG
1.80Deportes Tolima xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Jaguares 0.7 – 1.8 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Deportes Tolima to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportes Tolima 65%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
