Primera División · Peru · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 2.78 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.4 – 1.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates FC Cajamarca and Alianza Atletico on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
FC Cajamarca have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Alianza Atletico have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Alianza Atletico come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for FC Cajamarca, 1.6 for Alianza Atletico). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, FC Cajamarca have won 0, Alianza Atletico have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Alianza Atletico to win at 2.78 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alianza Atletico to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.78 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico ✗ | 24% | 4.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.43 | – |
Form
FC Cajamarca – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Sporting Cristal | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs UTC Cajamarca | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Sport Boys | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs UCV Moquegua | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ ADT | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Cusco | 1–2 | L |
Alianza Atletico – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Juan Pablo II College | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Deportivo Garcilaso | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Sport Huancayo | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Universitario | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Sport Boys | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Sport Boys | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Alianza Atletico v FC Cajamarca | 1–1 |
More Primera División predictions
ADT1
Sporting Cristal1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Atletico 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico?
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.