Primera División · Peru
ADT
Sporting Cristal
ADT vs Sporting Cristal prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ADT 1.3 – 1.6 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sporting Cristal shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for ADT.
ADT have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Sporting Cristal have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Sporting Cristal come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.3 for ADT, 1.6 for Sporting Cristal). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, ADT have won 0, Sporting Cristal have won 3 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Sporting Cristal to win at 2.50 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sporting Cristal to win ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✗ | 25% | 3.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.14 | – |
Form
ADT – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Comerciantes Unidos | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs UCV Moquegua | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Atletico Grau | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs FC Cajamarca | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Oct | @ Sporting Cristal | 0–5 | L |
Sporting Cristal – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs FC Cajamarca | 5–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Alianza Lima | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Cusco | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Comerciantes Unidos | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Oct | vs ADT | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ ADT | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Oct 2026 | Sporting Cristal v ADT | 5–0 |
| 27 Sep 2026 | ADT v Sporting Cristal | 0–1 |
| 24 May 2026 | Sporting Cristal v ADT | 2–1 |
More Primera División predictions
FC Cajamarca2
Alianza Atletico0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers ADT have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Cristal 44%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
ADT vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.