Primera División · Peru · Estadio Juan Maldonado GamarraComerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 2.0 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Comerciantes Unidos are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for FC Cajamarca.
Comerciantes Unidos have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. FC Cajamarca have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. Comerciantes Unidos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Comerciantes Unidos, 0.8 for FC Cajamarca). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Comerciantes Unidos have won 1, FC Cajamarca have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Comerciantes Unidos to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Comerciantes Unidos or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Comerciantes Unidos ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.38 | – |
Form
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ UTC Cajamarca | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Atletico Grau | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Cusco | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Alianza Lima | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | @ UCV Moquegua | 2–2 | D |
FC Cajamarca – last 6
| 21 Aug | vs Atletico Grau | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Universitario | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ FBC Melgar | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Sport Huancayo | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Jul | @ Deportivo Garcilaso | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | vs Juan Pablo II College | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 13 Mar 2026 | FC Cajamarca v Comerciantes Unidos | 3–4 |
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 15%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?
Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.