HNL · Croatia · Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.59 · Won ✓
Value bet: NK Slaven Belupo to win @ 3.08 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: HNK Gorica 1.4 – 1.4 NK Slaven Belupo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates HNK Gorica and NK Slaven Belupo on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
HNK Gorica have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. NK Slaven Belupo have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for HNK Gorica, 1.4 for NK Slaven Belupo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, HNK Gorica have won 0, NK Slaven Belupo have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.59 is close to our fair price of 1.59. For a bigger price, NK Slaven Belupo to win at 3.08 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | HNK Gorica to win ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT HNK Gorica / FT HNK Gorica ✗ | 22% | 4.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.52 | – |
Form
HNK Gorica – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ HNK Hajduk Split | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ NK Osijek | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Rudes | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Bravo | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Istra 1961 | 1–0 | W |
NK Slaven Belupo – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Mladost Ždralovi | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | vs Istra 1961 | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ NK Varazdin | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Dinamo Zagreb | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs HNK Rijeka | 4–1 | W |
| 1 Oct | @ Olimpija Ljubljana | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Aug 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo v HNK Gorica | 2–0 |
More HNL predictions
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O1.5Over 1.5 goals
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✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?
On our numbers HNK Gorica have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NK Slaven Belupo 38%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?
HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo (HNL) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.