Indonesia vs Cambodia prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Indonesia 2.5 – 0.9 Cambodia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Indonesia are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 13% for Cambodia.
Indonesia have taken 9 points from their last 4 matches (3W 0D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Cambodia have 6 points from their last 3 (2W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.5 for Indonesia, 0.9 for Cambodia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.47. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Indonesia to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.10 |
| Double chance | Indonesia or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.93 |
| Half-time result | Indonesia ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Indonesia / FT Indonesia ✓ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.35 | – |
Form
Indonesia – last 4
| 9 Jun | vs Mozambique | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Jun | vs Oman | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | vs Bulgaria | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs St. Kitts and Nevis | 4–0 | W |
Cambodia – last 3
| 24 Jul | vs Singapore | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Jun | vs Hong Kong | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Jun | vs Bhutan | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Cambodia.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Indonesia vs Cambodia?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Indonesia vs Cambodia?
On our numbers Indonesia have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cambodia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Cambodia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Indonesia vs Cambodia?
Indonesia vs Cambodia (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Pakansari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.