Libya vs Tunisia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Libya 1.0 – 1.8 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tunisia travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 27% for Libya.
Libya have taken 3 points from their last 4 matches (0W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Tunisia have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 3.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.0 for Libya, 1.8 for Tunisia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tunisia to win | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tunisia / FT Tunisia | 35% | 2.89 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 11% | 8.85 | – |
Form
Libya – last 4
| 29 Sep | @ Uganda | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Sep | vs Botswana | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Mar | @ Liberia | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Niger | 0–0 | D |
Tunisia – last 6
| 28 Sep | @ Botswana | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | vs Uganda | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | vs Netherlands | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Jun | vs Japan | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Jun | @ Sweden | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Belgium | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libya and Tunisia.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Comoros | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tunisia | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Gambia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Madagascar | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Libya vs Tunisia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance.
Who will win Libya vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Libya have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Tunisia 62%.
How many goals will there be in Libya vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Libya vs Tunisia?
Libya vs Tunisia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.