Eritrea vs Guinea prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Eritrea 1.3 – 1.3 Guinea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Eritrea and Guinea on our numbers – 44% for the home side, 43% for the visitors and 13% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Eritrea have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches (2W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Guinea have 4 points from their last 5 (1W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Eritrea come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Eritrea, 1.3 for Guinea). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Eritrea to win | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Eritrea / FT Eritrea | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 9% | 10.73 | – |
Form
Eritrea – last 4
| 30 Sep | vs South Africa | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Kenya | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | @ Eswatini | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Eswatini | 2–0 | W |
Guinea – last 5
| 1 Oct | vs Kenya | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ South Africa | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | @ Northern Ireland | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Benin | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Togo | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eritrea and Guinea.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Congo DR | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tanzania | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Guinea | 6 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ethiopia | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Eritrea vs Guinea?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance.
Who will win Eritrea vs Guinea?
On our numbers Eritrea have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Guinea 43%.
How many goals will there be in Eritrea vs Guinea?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Eritrea vs Guinea?
Eritrea vs Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Salam Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.