Burundi vs Zambia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Burundi 1.9 – 1.3 Zambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Burundi hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 33% for Zambia.
Burundi have taken 7 points from their last 4 matches (2W 1D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Zambia have 3 points from their last 3 (1W 0D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded. Burundi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.9 for Burundi, 1.3 for Zambia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 82% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Burundi to win | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Burundi ahead at half-time | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Burundi / FT Burundi | 31% | 3.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 10% | 10.52 | – |
Form
Burundi – last 4
| 29 Sep | vs Algeria | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Togo | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Chad | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | @ Chad | 4–0 | W |
Zambia – last 3
| 29 Sep | vs Togo | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Algeria | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Apr | @ Argentina | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burundi and Zambia.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zambia | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Ivory Coast | 6 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Sierra Leone | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 4 |  Chad | 6 | -7 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Burundi vs Zambia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance.
Who will win Burundi vs Zambia?
On our numbers Burundi have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Zambia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Burundi vs Zambia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Burundi vs Zambia?
Burundi vs Zambia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.