Angola vs Malawi prediction & analysis
Angola to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Angola 1.2 – 0.3 Malawi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Angola are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 13% for Malawi.
Angola have taken 5 points from their last 3 matches (1W 2D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Malawi have 4 points from their last 3 (1W 1D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.5 goals (1.2 for Angola, 0.3 for Malawi). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (28%), 0–0 (22%), 2–0 (17%).
Our pick is Angola to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Angola to win ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Angola or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Angola / FT Angola ✓ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 28% | 3.63 | – |
Form
Angola – last 3
| 25 Sep | @ Egypt | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Jun | vs Central African Republic | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Jun | vs Mauritania | 1–1 | D |
Malawi – last 3
| 25 Sep | vs South Sudan | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Jun | @ Ethiopia | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Ethiopia | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angola and Malawi.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Angola | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Sudan | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Niger | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Ghana | 6 | -4 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Angola vs Malawi?
Our pick is Angola to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Angola vs Malawi?
On our numbers Angola have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malawi 13%.
How many goals will there be in Angola vs Malawi?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
When is Angola vs Malawi?
Angola vs Malawi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.