Serie D Girone G · ItalyTrastevere vs Albalonga prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Trastevere 1.6 – 1.2 Albalonga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Trastevere hold the edge on home soil with a 49% chance of winning, against 30% for Albalonga.
Trastevere have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Albalonga have 9 points from their last 5 (3W 0D 2L), averaging 2.6 scored and 2.2 conceded. Albalonga come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for Trastevere, 1.2 for Albalonga). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.80 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Trastevere to win ✓ | 49% | 2.05 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.47 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Trastevere / FT Trastevere ✗ | 28% | 3.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.66 | – |
Form
Trastevere – last 6
| 3 May | @ Anzio | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | @ Olbia | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Apr | vs Scafatese | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Flaminia | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | vs Ischia | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | @ Atletico Lodigiani | 2–1 | W |
Albalonga – last 5
| 3 May | vs Scafatese | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Apr | vs Ischia | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Latte Dolce | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | @ Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | vs Real Monterotondo | 5–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trastevere and Albalonga.
Serie D Girone G table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Trastevere | 10 | -1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Albalonga | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Afragolese | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Paganese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Ossese | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Budoni | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gelbison | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 11 | -11 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Trastevere vs Albalonga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Trastevere vs Albalonga?
On our numbers Trastevere have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Albalonga 30%.
How many goals will there be in Trastevere vs Albalonga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Trastevere vs Albalonga?
Trastevere vs Albalonga (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.