Wales U19 vs Germany U19 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 66% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Wales U19 1.6 – 3.8 Germany U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Germany U19 travel as clear favourites – 72% to win, against 8% for Wales U19.
Wales U19 have taken 0 points from their last 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 4.7 per game. Germany U19 have 7 points from their last 3 (2W 1D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 2.3 conceded. Germany U19 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.4 goals (1.6 for Wales U19, 3.8 for Germany U19). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–3 (7%), 1–4 (6%), 2–3 (5%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Germany U19 to win ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.08 |
| Double chance | Germany U19 or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 97% | 1.03 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Germany U19 ahead at half-time ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Germany U19 / FT Germany U19 ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 ✗ | 7% | 15.31 | – |
Form
Wales U19 – last 3
| 28 Jun | vs Spain U19 | 0–7 | L |
| 8 Jun | @ Sweden U19 | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Mar | vs USA U19 | 0–4 | L |
Germany U19 – last 3
| 28 Jun | vs Denmark U19 | 4–3 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Austria U19 | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Sweden U19 | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wales U19 and Germany U19.
More UEFA U19 Championship predictions
Denmark U190
Spain U193Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wales U19 vs Germany U19?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wales U19 vs Germany U19?
On our numbers Wales U19 have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Germany U19 72%.
How many goals will there be in Wales U19 vs Germany U19?
We expect about 5.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Wales U19 vs Germany U19?
Wales U19 vs Germany U19 (UEFA U19 Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.