Premier League · Jamaica · Draxhall Sports ComplexMount Pleasant Academy vs Chapelton prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mount Pleasant Academy 1.7 – 0.7 Chapelton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mount Pleasant Academy are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Chapelton.
Mount Pleasant Academy have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Chapelton have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Mount Pleasant Academy, 0.7 for Chapelton). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.38.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mount Pleasant Academy to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Mount Pleasant Academy or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mount Pleasant Academy / FT Mount Pleasant Academy ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.73 | – |
Form
Mount Pleasant Academy – last 6
| 16 Apr | @ Harbour View | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Apr | @ Cavalier | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | vs Racing United | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Apr | @ Spanish Town Police | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Arnett Gardens | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Spanish Town Police | 4–0 | W |
Chapelton – last 6
| 15 Apr | @ Treasure Beach | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs Molynes United | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Mar | @ Tivoli Gardens | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | @ Racing United | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Feb | @ Racing United | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | vs Treasure Beach | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mount Pleasant Academy and Chapelton.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tru-Juice | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 |  Waterhouse | 8 | +16 | 18 |
| 3 |  Racing United | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Montego Bay United | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mount Pleasant Academy | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Tivoli Gardens | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  Arnett Gardens | 8 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Portmore United | 7 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Cavalier | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Chapelton | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Dunbeholden | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 |  Molynes United | 9 | -11 | 7 |
| 13 |  Treasure Beach | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Humble Lions | 8 | -19 | 2 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mount Pleasant Academy vs Chapelton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mount Pleasant Academy vs Chapelton?
On our numbers Mount Pleasant Academy have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chapelton 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mount Pleasant Academy vs Chapelton?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Mount Pleasant Academy vs Chapelton?
Mount Pleasant Academy vs Chapelton (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Draxhall Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.