Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction & analysis
Canada or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Canada to win @ 1.87 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Canada 1.8 – 0.7 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Canada are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Canada have taken 5 points from their last 3 matches (1W 2D 0L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Bosnia & Herzegovina have 2 points from their last 2 (0W 2D 0L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Canada come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Canada, 0.7 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Canada or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Canada to win at 1.87 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Canada to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.87 ▲ |
| Double chance | Canada or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Canada ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Canada / FT Canada ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.43 | – |
Form
Canada – last 3
| 6 Jun | vs Rep. Of Ireland | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Jun | vs Uzbekistan | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Apr | vs Tunisia | 0–0 | D |
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 2
| 6 Jun | @ Panama | 1–1 | D |
| 29 May | vs FYR Macedonia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina.
More World Cup predictions
South Korea2
Czech Republic1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Our pick is Canada or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
On our numbers Canada have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 15%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.