Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas
Democrata GV vs Porto BA prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Democrata GV 1.7 – 0.7 Porto BA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Democrata GV are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Porto BA.
Democrata GV have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches (2W 0D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Porto BA have 4 points from their last 4 (1W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.5 conceded. Democrata GV come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Democrata GV, 0.7 for Porto BA). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Democrata GV to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Democrata GV or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Democrata GV / FT Democrata GV ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.22 | – |
Form
Democrata GV – last 3
| 5 May | vs Vitória ES | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Apr | vs Real Noroeste | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | vs Betim | 0–1 | L |
Porto BA – last 4
| 4 Mar | @ CRB | 0–6 | L |
| 22 Feb | vs Juazeirense | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | vs Serra Branca | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | @ Atlético Alagoinhas | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Democrata GV and Porto BA.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
On our numbers Democrata GV have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Porto BA 15%.
How many goals will there be in Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Democrata GV vs Porto BA?
Democrata GV vs Porto BA (Serie D) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.