Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Sousa vs Botafogo PB prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sousa 1.5 – 1.3 Botafogo PB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sousa hold the edge on home soil with a 41% chance of winning, against 33% for Botafogo PB.
Sousa have taken 7 points from their last 3 matches (2W 1D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Botafogo PB have 10 points from their last 4 (3W 1D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Sousa, 1.3 for Botafogo PB). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.39.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sousa to win ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sousa / FT Sousa ✗ | 24% | 4.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.30 | – |
Form
Sousa – last 3
| 26 Mar | vs Confiança | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | vs Pombal EC | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | @ Campinense | 1–1 | D |
Botafogo PB – last 4
| 4 Apr | vs Barra | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Mar | @ Vitoria | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | vs Serra Branca | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Feb | vs Treze | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sousa and Botafogo PB.
More Copa Do Nordeste predictions
Vitoria4
Juazeirense1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sousa vs Botafogo PB?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sousa vs Botafogo PB?
On our numbers Sousa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botafogo PB 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sousa vs Botafogo PB?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Sousa vs Botafogo PB?
Sousa vs Botafogo PB (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.