Premier League · Jamaica · Steths Sports ComplexTreasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Treasure Beach 1.2 – 1.2 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Treasure Beach and Tivoli Gardens on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Treasure Beach have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Tivoli Gardens have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Treasure Beach, 1.2 for Tivoli Gardens). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.77.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tivoli Gardens to win ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tivoli Gardens / FT Tivoli Gardens ✗ | 21% | 4.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.04 | – |
Form
Treasure Beach – last 6
| 24 Apr | @ Waterhouse | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | vs Chapelton | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | @ Racing United | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Mar | @ Spanish Town Police | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | vs Portmore United | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | @ Dunbeholden | 2–4 | L |
Tivoli Gardens – last 6
| 27 Apr | @ Molynes United | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | @ Montego Bay United | 1–5 | L |
| 16 Apr | @ Waterhouse | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Harbour View | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Chapelton | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | vs Arnett Gardens | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treasure Beach and Tivoli Gardens.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tru-Juice | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 |  Waterhouse | 8 | +16 | 18 |
| 3 |  Racing United | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Montego Bay United | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mount Pleasant Academy | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Tivoli Gardens | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  Arnett Gardens | 8 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Portmore United | 7 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Cavalier | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Chapelton | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Dunbeholden | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 |  Molynes United | 9 | -11 | 7 |
| 13 |  Treasure Beach | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Humble Lions | 8 | -19 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?
On our numbers Treasure Beach have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tivoli Gardens 38%.
How many goals will there be in Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens?
Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Steths Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.